Tag: Hawkesville Hurricans

Points-Based Bar Chart Races? Oh, go on…

By popular demand, here is a bar chart race that starts mildly exciting and rapidly becomes quite tedious. It shows total points scored on a cumulative basis and, because of the decimal places, it looks like we’ve scored in the millions.

This one is more interesting and is shows the ebbs and flows over the years, because it’s season long rolling average points.

Obligatory stats summary:

Close enough to being exactly the same as above but it’s average points per game, rather than total points per season long period. This accounts for the change from a 16 game season to 17.

And the summary table, much of which is exactly the same as the one above, just with some more relatable points info at the bottom of it.

A Bar Chart Race? Of All-Play Wins? Yes Please!

Three visualisations to celebrate 10 years of the Dynabowl. These are mesmeric, and hopefully give everyone their moment in the sun. And shade.

The first, is the total number of all play wins growing over time.

Then the all-time cumulative win percentage, so rather than volumes pushing the bars along, it’s just shift in that winning percentage. I realise this may feel grim for some of you…

But here’s where everyone shines at some point – the rolling season long all-play winning percentage. It’s 16 weeks until the league expanded the regular season, at which point it extends to rolling-17 weeks, when we hit week 17 of the 2021 season. Does everybody hit the top? Check it out…

What’s that? You want to know how long each team has spent in each position in that rolling 16-season long all-play win percentage chart thingy above? Seems a little weird, but OK…

And who was the Rolling-Season Long Form Table leader at the end of each season, and what was their all-play winning percentage compared to the team that actually won the title.

Kelkowski’s title in 2016 was a travesty, everywhere else it’s been pretty close.

Finally, it’s the 2024 DynaBowl Rookie Draft Exit Survey

It’s the eve of a new season so what better time to look backwards and finally review the 2024 Dynabowl rookie draft, the deepest wide receiver draft and shallowest every-other-position draft in league history; an interminable process lasting over 12 days, with the Bombermen delighting in accounting for a quarter of that. But how did everyone do? There’s only one way to find out. No, not a fight, nor letting those picks play out over the next 3 or 4 years. No, it’s time to see what everyone’s gut feels are before any of these players have footed a ball in anger.

7 GMs responded, which feels about par for the course. Let’s look at each team’s review in turn, starting with…

East Flanders Dungeoneers

Self-Assessment

Score6  
Why?  I don’t know what I’m doing so going for middle of the road, but going for 6 because of my first pick.
Who were you disappointed to miss out on?Kool-Aid McKinstry
Did you approach the draft with a particular philosophy?See who has a good score, does well on scouting reports, filling gaps in my roster and funny names as a tie breaker.

League Assessment

NB: 6 voters – you don’t complete this for yourself. Unless Chris neglected to remove the mandatory status for the questions about your team.

Best pick for fantasyMarvin Harrison Jr (WR, pick 1.01, 6 votes)
Best valueMarvin Harrison Jr (4), Byron Murphy (DT, 2.01, 1), Sione Vaki (RB, 9.01, 1)
Worst valueChop Robinson (DE, 3.01, 4), Tip Reiman (TE, 5.11,1), Javon Bullard (S, 6.01, 1)
Early picks likely to bustChop Robinson (3), All good (3)
Late picks likely to be usefulKris Jenkins (DT, 7.01, 2), Sione Vaki (1), Tory Taylor (P, 11.01, 1), None (2)

Commentary

Pretty solid. Best offensive and best defensive players. Can’t complain about that. I’ll claim any success as my own. Adam knows why.

Sticking at 1 and taking Marvin Harrison gives a solid floor. I thought there was too much defense though.

Went very early on defenders and passed on some good options as a result. But you’ve got to start building somewhere

Great pick number 1. Not sure on any of the others

Too defense heavy for my tastes

I can understand the theory – my defence is bad and I need to fix it – but this wasn’t the draft for that, and honestly, after MHJ I think every player was at least a small reach, even if the player wasn’t going to come back in some cases (Byron Murphy). Also, the offensive side of this roster wasn’t good enough to pass on offence, and particularly WR, so often.

Ratings

Here Comes The Brees

Self-Assessment

Score7
Why?  Some good picks, missed out narrowly on a few players
Who were you disappointed to miss out on?Brock Bowers
Did you approach the draft with a particular philosophy?Fill needs and best player

League Assessment

NB: 6 voters – you don’t complete this for yourself. Unless Chris neglected to remove the mandatory status for the questions about your team.

Best pick for fantasyBryan Thomas (WR, 1.05, 5), Edgerrin Cooper (LB, 3.05, 1)
Best valueRay Davis (RB, 5.05, 2), Theo Johnson (TE, 8.05, 2), Bryan Thomas (1), Edgerrin Cooper (1)
Worst valueJJ McCarthy (QB, 4.05, 4), Edgerrin Cooper (1), Kwame Lassiter (CB, 12.05, 1)
Early picks likely to bustJJ McCarthy (6), Edgerrin Cooper (3)
Late picks likely to be usefulTheo Johnson (4), Tyrice Knight (LB, 9.05, 1), Tykee Smith (S, 10.05, 1), None (1)

Commentary

Looks pretty awful

Okay – a distinct lack of potential due to no picks in 4-6 that I liked

Cunts stole my Coop. It was a shit draft and they got three good players, for my money – Thomas, Cooper and Davis.

I may have picked the Edgerin Cooper pick as worst value, but that’s mostly because there wasn’t ‘none’ as an option. I think probably the worst value is Brian Thomas Jr – not because he’s a bad pick at 5, but because I don’t see how he’s better than what’s on the roster – AJ Brown, Chase, Lamb and St Brown. Even though I really dislike this RB class, given needs, I think it might have been a better option. That or moving up for Bowers.

Not really a massive fan of anyone. Brian Thomas could be good, but could also be stuck as just a deep threat. McCarthy just didn’t seem worth a pick that high.

Ratings

Tamworth Two

Self-Assessment

Score6
Why?  No high picks. A lot of speculation on the remaining picks. A possible reach at QB (but I think he could be special). But I like the players I’ve picked up
Who were you disappointed to miss out on?None
Did you approach the draft with a particular philosophy?Fill a few needs

League Assessment

NB: 6 voters – you don’t complete this for yourself. Unless Chris neglected to remove the mandatory status for the questions about your team.

Best pick for fantasyTrey Benson (RB, 2.03, 2), Laiatu Latu (DE, 2.06, 2), Caleb Williams (QB, 1.10, 1), Adonai Mitchell (WR, 3.03, 1)
Best valueKimani Vidal (RB, 5.03, 2), Caleb Williams (1), Trey Benson (1), Adonai Mitchell (1), Javon Baker (WR, 4.03, 1)
Worst valueCaleb Williams (3), Trey Benson (1), Javon Baker (1), Dedrion Taylor-Demerson (S 10.03, 1)
Early picks likely to bustAdonai Mitchell (3), Caleb Williams (2), Trey Benson (2), Laiatu Latu (1)
Late picks likely to be usefulMazi Smith (DT, 8.03, 1), Brandon Dorlus (DT 9.03, 1), Austin Booker (DE, 11.03, 1), None (3)

Commentary

I have Caleb as the best and worst value pick because I had him ranked inside the top 7, but also because this was a deep QB class and the path to relevance in this league for a QB is tight. If he hits his ceiling, it’ll look like a good pick, but that’s a pretty big ask. I really dislike giving up Myles Garrett to get a QB though. Every player of note in this group of selections could be a hit or a bust, there’s a lot of talent with red flags – injuries, character concerns etc. – that could work out really well, or really badly.

Solid as a rock. Kimani Vidal was a nice mid-round pick up

I’m pleasantly surprised to see the top end of Goody’s draft (the bottom end of everyone’s draft is awful). I’m not a fan of taking QBs so high because there’s such low demand in our league for them, and I think Williams will be good, but better in the NFL than in fantasy. I think Daniels is probably the best bet for fantasy, though a higher likelihood of being a bust.

There’s a tonne of upside – Williams, Benson, Latu and both Mitchells could be really good. But they all also have massive bust potential. Could be a kickstart to the rebuild, could be a massive waste of time.

Really solid start. I like all of the first 7 picks

Ratings

The 4th Dynmension: Dynasty of Sadness

Self-Assessment

None provided

League Assessment

NB: 7 voters as none of them were Mike.

Best pick for fantasyMalik Nabers (WR, 1.02, 4), Marshawn Lloyd (RB, 2.10, 1), Jerzhan Newton (DT, 4.02, 1)
Best valueMarshawn Lloyd (3), Dallas Turner (DE, 3.02, 2), Ricky Pearsall (WR, 2.02, 1), Cooper Dejean (S, 7.02, 1)
Worst valueRicky Pearsall (3), Michael Penix (QB, 9.02, 2), Dallas Turner (1), Jerzhan Newton (1)
Early picks likely to bustRicky Pearsall (3), Marshawn Lloyd (2), Dallas Turner (2), Malik Nabers (1)
Late picks likely to be usefulBrendon Rice (WR, 8.02, 3), Michael Penix (3), Mike Sainsristil (CB, 10.02, 3), JD Bertrand (LB, 11.02, 1)

Commentary

Overall a very good effort, 7 on 10

I like it. Good balance of positions. Lots of good potential. A good draft to build off. Being manboob of course it will all turn to shit

Lloyd has arguably the best path to relevance (Jacobs is on a defacto one year contract), in a good offence, of any RB in this class, so to get him where he did (RB4?) was pretty good going, but this draft swings on Nabers, who’s a bit Garrett Wilson – clearly talented, but in an awful situation that I can’t see improving. The Giants have the worst O-line in the league, and they’ll have a year of a rehabbing Daniel Jones, following by picking a QB from a bad class too high, and not fixing the O-line, he could end up being the most frustrating player from this draft class, the talent is there but the team can’t utilise it.

Wasn’t a fan of Ricky Pearsall this early, but that applies to the NFL draft too, so maybe the 49ers know something I don’t. Lots of good players at decent values generally.

Perfectly fine draft. I probably would have gone Odunze rather than Nabers, but it’s very much pick your preferred flavour. Will it turn him into a challenger? Maybe. But probably not

Pretty decent up top

Ratings

Dynasore Losers

Self-Assessment

Score7
Why?  My main aim was to take some shots at WR, and given my draft position I think I did reasonably well with that
Who were you disappointed to miss out on?Ladd McConkey
Did you approach the draft with a particular philosophy?Stock up at WR in a very strong receiver draft, don’t overdraft players in weak position groups

League Assessment

NB: 6 voters – you don’t complete this for yourself. Unless Chris neglected to remove the mandatory status for the questions about your team.

Best pick for fantasyKeon Coleman (WR, 1.09, 4), Roman Wilson (WR, 2.09, 2)
Best valueRoman Wilson (2), Drake Maye (QB, 4.09, 2), Jalynn Polk (WR, 3.09, 1), Kool-Aid McKinstry (CB, 10.09, 1)
Worst valueDrake Maye (3), Roman Wilson (2), Jalen Coker (WR, 9.09, 1)
Early picks likely to bustKeon Coleman (3), Roman Wilson (2), Jalynn Polk (2), None (2)
Late picks likely to be usefulKool-Aid McKinstry (5), Rasheen Ali (RB, 8.09, 2), None (1)

Commentary

Drank the Kool-Aid and now his team is on fire

Fine. Very chalky. Nothing out of the ordinary. Nothing to be upset with, nothing to get excited about. I get the Maye pick in the context of his roster.

Took a few players early that I had as don’t draft (Coleman & polk) and none of the later picks were ones that I was targeting so not for me

Seemed to be stuck picking in some fairly poor slots, but I’m not convinced by any of picks. Coleman probably has a decent floor, but everyone else could end up being useless. Especially Roman Wilson.

No huge stand outs but no misses either.

Ratings

NB – This question was mandatory for Slatz so he entered 1 as a score. This has been discounted when referenced elsewhere.

Hawkesville Hurricanes

Self-Assessment

None provided

League Assessment

NB: 7 voters, as none of the responses was from Neil

Best pick for fantasyXavier Worthy (WR, 1.06, 4), Jermaine Burton (WR, 4.06, 2), Isaac Guerendo (RB 6.02, 1)
Best valueJermaine Burton (4), Xavier Worthy (1), Isaac Guerendo (1), Kamren Kitchens (S, 7.06, 1)
Worst valuePayton Wilson (LB, 3.06, 5), Xavier Worthy (1), Aeneas Smith (WR, 10.06, 1)
Early picks likely to bustXavier Worthy (3), Payton Wilson (3), None (2)
Late picks likely to be usefulJacob Cowing (WR, 8.06, 2), Jordan Magee (LB 9.06, 1), none (3)

Commentary

Lack of a 2nd makes it look slightly worse. I’m okay with the first 3 picks but nothing for me after that

A laser focus on picking funny first names, I respect it

I’m not convinced by Worthy. Perfect situation but he’s mainly speed – I don’t think he’s the second coming of Tyreek. But if he is, he’s quids in. Beyond that I barely recognise any of the names, but that may be a me problem rather than an issue with his draft.

I like Worthy and Burton, and would probably like the whole draft more if he’d taken Burton in the 3rd and Wilson in the 4th. Wilson just seemed like a reach, and there’s too many LBs here overall.

Burton had the talent to go higher, but the character concerns that meant his actual draft position ended up surprising some people. Maybe it works out, maybe it doesn’t, but if it doesn’t I think this class is pretty bleak. I don’t have much faith in Worthy, he could be Tyreek Hill or he could be Skyy Moore.

I like the potential of a couple of these but they are not standing out. Burton could be great but not convinced

Ratings

Dynablaster Bombermen

Self-Assessment

Score4
Why?  I actually think I’ve got some decent players, but I missed out on some targets by a few spots, which frustrated me, and it was just a shit draft in general so no one’s class was going to be great.
Who were you disappointed to miss out on?Edgerin Cooper. Went two picks before I was going to take him
Did you approach the draft with a particular philosophy?I wanted RBs, but it was a weak class, as it was almost everywhere, so I guess I’m happy with the ones I got. I wanted a good LB. I got one I’ve never heard of in the hope he might start. This might actually turn out to be one of my better drafts (comparatively) purely because I took two WRs who had inexplicably fallen and felt like I got some bargains, even though I didn’t really want them – Corley and Walker – and I got a Chiefs TE when Kelce is surely nearing the end, so maybe that’s something?

League Assessment

NB: 6 voters – you don’t complete this for yourself. Unless Chris neglected to remove the mandatory status for the questions about your team.

Best pick for fantasyJonathan Brooks (RB, 1.07, 4), Jared Verse (DE, 3.07, 1), Malachi Corley (WR, 4.07, 1)
Best valueJonathan Brooks (3), Malachi Corley (2), Jared Verse (1)
Worst valueJaylen Wright (RB, 2.07, 4), Jonathan Brooks (1), Spencer Rattler (WB, 10.07, 1)
Early picks likely to bustJaylen Wright (5), Jonathan Brooks (2), Jared Verse (1)
Late picks likely to be usefulJaden Hicks (S, 9.07, 4), Cade Stover (TE, 8.07, 3), Spencer Rattler (1), DeWayne Carter (DT, 11.07, 1), Jahwar Jordan (RB, 12.07, 1)

Commentary

I will write this comment so reading it feels like Ben’s actual draft… Aaaaaaaaaaa biiiiiit liiiiiiiiiike Adaaaaaaaaaaaaam’s in thaaaaaaaaat I can seeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeee the plaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaan and the neeeeeeeeeeeeed at RB. Buuuuuuuuuuuut Beeeeeeeeeeeeeeen paaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaasseeeeeeeeeeed ooooooooooooooooooooooooon gooooooooooooooooooooooood plaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaayers tooooooooooooooooooooooo piiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiick RBs iiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiin baaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaad situuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaatioooooooooooooooooooooooons, whiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiich doooooooooooooooooooooooooooooesn’t seeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeem liiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiike goooooooooooooooooooood draaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaftiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiing tooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooo meeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeee. Fucking torturous. [A bit like Adam’s in that I can see the plan and the need at RB. But Ben passed on good players to pick RBs in bad situations, which doesn’t seem like good drafting to me]

I really liked Cade Stover as a sleeper. I was high on Jonathan Brooks too, I think he’ll be very good. Jaylen Wright seemed wildly overdrafted to me – he feels like one of those guys who is a good scheme fit but lacks the talent for that to actually matter.

Taking 2 rb’s with first 2 picks in such a weak draft for RBS is a no no. Brooks should be solid though

Some great value and average picks

I get emotional just looking at it

Ratings

Champions of the Sun

Self-Assessment

None provided

League Assessment

NB: 7 voters, as none of the responses was from Max

Best pick for fantasyJunior Colson (LB, 3.04, 4), Bucky Irving (RB, 5.04, 2), Xavier Leggette (WR, 2.04, 1)
Best valueBucky Irving (2), Xavier Leggette (1), Junior Colson (1), Jalen, McMillan (WR, 5.07, 1), Malik Washington (WR, 6.04, 1), Max Melton (CB, 12.04, 1)
Worst valueXavier Leggette (3), Junior Colson (2), Bo Nix (QB, 6.13, 2)
Early picks likely to bustXavier Leggette (5), Tevin Wallace (LB, 4.04, 2), Junior Colson (1), None (2)
Late picks likely to be usefulNate Wiggins (CB, 8.04, 3), Max Melton (3), Isaiah Davis (RB, 11.04, 1), None (1)

Commentary

Really the value came in trades. Brock Bowers for Myles Garrett and Javonte Williams feels like quite a good deal. I wasn’t a big fan of the rest of the draft. Someone had to take Legette I suppose. Jalen McMillan could be really good. Too many LBs in a shitty LB class.

I’m not sure Max knows who any of these players are. But then I barely do, so I shouldn’t cast aspersions. Maybe rescued a bit by the Garrett trade.

Getting Myle’s Garrett for 10 was good value, and while I understand not wanting Bowers because of strength at TE, Javonte Williams is a dud, and you paid a late 1st round price for him (i.e. imo the difference between 4 and 10 in this draft is c. a late first). Selling cheap to Chris, of all people, is a cardinal skin and I’ve knocked a couple of points off for it, as overall I think without the Bowers trade it’s probably an 8. Other than that, I like some of these picks – Washington might have been a little high, but he is a speedster in an offence that loves that, McMillan was one of my pre-NFL draft crushes (but his landing spot was really bad). I don’t know who the fuck Tevin Wallace is, but double-dipping at LB in this class feels like a waste. NFL teams don’t know how to develop LBs any more.

RB was a need so can understand the trade for javonte with few decent options in the draft. Don’t think Garrett is necessary for him so that was a waste. Too many reaches on lb’s for me

Slightly below average

It’s Legette a fine draft

Ratings

Kelkowski Don’t Play By No Dyna Rules

Self-Assessment

Score6
Why?  Always difficult when you’re at the back end as you can’t get the truly elite picks unless you trade. Got some of my targets. Wasn’t intending to load up on receivers but there were too many good options. Hardly any defenders is a concern. But then there weren’t any good defensive options in the draft
Who were you disappointed to miss out on?Jer’zahan newton
Did you approach the draft with a particular philosophy?I start with a philosophy but then it quickly goes out of the window and I panic

League Assessment

NB: 6 voters – you don’t complete this for yourself. Unless Chris neglected to remove the mandatory status for the questions about your team.

Best pick for fantasyJayden Daniels (QB, 2.08, 4), Ladd McConkey (WR, 1.08, 2)
Best valueJayden Daniels (3), Troy Franklin (WR, 3.08, 2), Ladd McConkey (1)
Worst valueLadd McConkey (2), Bub Means (WR, 10.08, 2), Troy Franklin (1), Luke McCaffrey (WR, 5.08, 1)
Early picks likely to bustLadd McConkey (2), Jayden Daniels (2), Troy Franklin (1), Ben Sinnott (TE, 3.10, 1), None (1)
Late picks likely to be usefulAdisa Isaac (DE, 8.08, 1), Bub Means (1), Anthony Gould (WR, 12.08. 1), None (3)

Commentary

I love Franklin and that is it

Daniels is the top fantasy QB in this draft and, given how the league values QBs, he did well to get him there – even if I don’t think QBs should go that early. I also recognise some of the other players. It’s an OK draft.

I like the top half of this draft more than the bottom. I’m conflicted about Jayden Daniels, he’s potentially a really good fantasy player, but I don’t trust his playstyle to keep him healthy and I hate breakout Seniors (and that goes double for Covid super-Seniors) as they are just adults beating up on kids and that’s not a good indicator for how they’ll do when everyone else is an adult, but rushing is the fantasy cheat code for QBs, so really him being a bust/success is entirely on his longevity/health. Troy Franklin is an odd one, he profiles like Jameson Williams and was drafted by the NFL in the 4th two years after Williams was a top 10 player. But Williams has never done much either, and Franklin is so skinny you have to be concerned about his ability to survive in the league.

I didn’t like Ladd McConkey this high. Such poor college production, but now we’re expecting him to come in and be a #1 WR? I don’t buy it. Getting Jayden Daniels almost a full round after Caleb is great value. I really liked Sinnott and Franklin as sleepers. Especially Sinnott.

Bub Means what? Took all the good WRs damn it

Ratings

Dyna Hard

Self-Assessment

Score8
Why?  Very pleased that I was able to get 2 of the top 4 guys without paying a premium to trade up. Corum was also useful insurance with upside. Otherwise the whole draft class was a bit meh, so hard to be too excited.
Who were you disappointed to miss out on?Ben Sinnott. I was hoping he’d be available at 4.08.
Did you approach the draft with a particular philosophy?I wanted to stock up on WRs, but that didn’t really happen until some late round dart throws.

League Assessment

NB: 6 voters – you don’t complete this for yourself. Unless Chris neglected to remove the mandatory status for the questions about your team.

Best pick for fantasyRome Odunze (WR, 1.03, 3), Brock Bowers (TE, 1.04, 3)
Best valueBlake Corum (RB, 2.05, 3), Rome Odunze (1), Brock Bowers (1), Audric Estimé (RB, 4.08, 1)
Worst valueBlake Corum (2), Brock Bowers (1), Darius Robinson (DE, 4.10, 1), Braelon Allen (RB, 5.10, 1), Joshua Karty (K, 11.10, 1)
Early picks likely to bustBrock Bowers (2), Blake Corum (2), None (3)
Late picks likely to be usefulTerrion Arnold (CB, 9.10, 2), Louis Rees-Zammit (RB, 12.10, 2), Joshua Karty (1), None (2)

Commentary

As usual, Chris wins by taking advantage of people willing to trade. We can only hope that the arrival of Teddy fucks his judgement and this kind of shit never happens again. You all have blood on your hands.

Some great high value picks

Ummm, the inverse of Max’s comments, getting 1.04 for 1.10 and Javonte Williams was robbery. Not Bijan-scale, but still a robbery. Adding Estime in the 4th who could well end up supplanting Williams was just trolling. I think there’s a path to Odunze being the top WR in this draft. T’Vondre Sweat is an interesting one, played really well in college, and massive athletic profile, but also seen as a massive reach by Tennessee where they took him, even if character concerns were a bit overblown. Given his strength against the run and the Jeffrey Simmonds of it all at the Titans he could end up a nose tackle, but if not he has a chance to be relevant, which is good value for that point in the draft. You forgot to include 1.03 in the picks summary, which is a pretty notable asset.

Pipping us to Brock Bowers was painful. I hope he’s terrible (I don’t)

Aggressive as usual and really solid picks. I don’t know how he does it. Hopefully teddy will slow him down in future

Ratings

Overall

TeamSelf-AssessmentLeague AssessmentDifference
East Flanders Dungeoneers66.1670.167
Here Comes The Brees75.000-2.000
Tamworth Two66.1670.167
The 4th Dynmension: Dynasty of SadnessN/A7.833N/A
Dynasore Losers75.333-1.667
Hawkesville HurricanesN/A5.000N/A
Dynablaster Bombermen45.0001.000
Champions of the SunN/A5.714N/A
Kelkowski Don’t Play By No Dyna Rules67.1671.167
Dyna Hard88.5000.500

So Chris wins the draft, followed by Mike and Ian, and that definitely won’t change over the next few years. Meanwhile the Brees, Hurricanes and Bombermen lost it and may as well give it all up.

Reflections

At least one of you doesn’t understand what the word ‘Value’ means, having repeatedly suggested that picks in the 9th round or later were the worst value picks those teams took, while also suggesting that taking Odunze and Bowers 3rd and 4th – ie getting two of the players universally rated as 2nd to 4th best (pick your own order) in the top 4 – represented good value. Don’t get me wrong, not bad picks, just players taken at pretty much exactly the spot everyone said they should go so offering precisely average value.

There wasn’t a huge amount of consensus across the league. A few picks were universally liked (Marvin Harrison Jr? What are the chances). The Bombermen can take comfort in having all if their late round picks marked by someone as having the potential to be contributor, suggesting an ability to pick players with decent upside at least. It’s a crumb after having the early rounds, if not slated, at least be given a thumbs down. At the other end of the scale, everyone seems overwhelmingly convinced Tamworth’s first 4 picks are destined to bust.

On a personal level, I still didn’t recognise a significant number of the players everyone drafted which either says something about the quality of my research or this draft class.

Draft Day(s) Trades

Who won each of the trades that took place during the draft?

Now, let’s just be clear on this trade. Ignore the players, look at the picks. Chris moves up 3 spots in the second round and down 8 spots from the 3rd to the 4th. That seems reasonably evenly balanced. Indeed, this draft pick value chart suggests it couldn’t have been much closer to even – a perfect swap would have been 2.05 & 4.07 for 2.08 & 3.10 – so one spot out. But Chris managed to get an extra sixth round pick out of the deal. How anyone then felt that Ian won the trade, I do not know.

Draft Miscellany

Biggest Surprise?

How much the fun of it was drained away by long pick times, particularly in the early rounds.

Just how shit it was. I think my lack of preparation was meritted and if it was a better class I’d have dived into it more. I’m also surprised I didn’t get more slated for taking so long to do everything.

That I didn’t get it completely wrong?

The running QBs falling so late. Blake Corum going so so high

That it ended. Seemed like it would never come

The continuing lack of trades. And how generally shit it was given that it had been heralded as a great class.

That it finished so quickly

Timings

Those who felt it went too long were very vocal in their distaste while a silent majority seemed to be OK with it, if not craving even more…

Historical Drafting

Who’s the best drafter?Hard (4), Kelkowski, Losers, Brees (1 each)
Who’s the worst drafter?Dungeoneers (4), Hurricanes (2), Sadness (1)

Other Draft Thoughts

Good fun, could have used more trades. I liked it taking a while.

Let’s hope next year is a better class. For all our sakes.

The highlight

It was a good time, wish it went longer

Who’s going to win Dynabowl XI?

Dyna Hard (4), Dynablaster Bombermen (2), Tamworth Two, Dynasore Losers (1 each)

Who’s going to be picking first in the 2025 draft?

East Flanders Dungeoneers (3), Tamworth Two, The 4th Dynmesnion: Dynasty of Sadness, Hawkesville Hurricanes, Champions of the Sun (1 each)

Offensive Rookie of the Year

Marvin Harrison Jr (5), Jayden Daniels (1)

One vote came with the comment that they prefer Odunze’s chances overall, but think Harrison will be better year one.

Defensive Rookie of the Year

Byron Murphy, Laiatu Latu (2 each), Junior Colson, Jer’zahan Newton (1 each)

The 2022 Dynabowl Draft Exit Survey

This exit survey was run by Chris Braithwaite, GM of Dyna Hard. I am certain that everything shown in this report is exactly right and hasn’t been twisted in any way, shape or form. Anyway, onwards…

Welcome to the 100% accurate assessment of the Dynabowl draft. Why even bother playing the games after this when we know exactly how good all of these players are going to be, right?

We’ll start out simple: average scores per team. There were two teams way out in front, with an average of 7.3. Max takes it by a nose, 7.33 to 7.25, over Chris. That’s especially impressive given Max’s admission that “I genuinely don’t know who any of the players are.” Ignorance is evidently bliss. Max was the only person to garner a 10 (apart from Goody trying to sneak a 10 in for himself), but Chris was the only person where every vote was 6 or higher. So there’s that. It’s then a drop of 0.9 down to Pete in 3rd at an average of 6.4. So lets just skip right to the bottom, where Benj is sitting with a score of 4.9, just behind Goody’s 5.0. And lets take a moment to give credit to Neil, who was the only person who managed to have his drafted rated as a 1 and yet had enough people who liked his draft to get him to a solid mid-table finish. Congrats?!

TeamRankAverageMaxMin
Max17.3105
Chris27.396
Pete36.475
Mike46.175
Neil55.881
Ian65.583
Ben & Stew7=5.374
Slatz7=5.382
Goody85.082
Benj94.973

The overall average was 5.9, so if your score was below that, you did badly. But good work overall everyone on using a reasonable scoring scale, rather than the actual NFL draft grades which seem to have A- as a fail.

Comments

Enough with the numbers, lets get to the comments. We’ll go in the same order as the rankings for this draft, so the comments get progressively worse. Lets not make this thing too cheerful, right?

Max

  • Okay
  • I like quite a few if them. Good effort
  • Loved this draft. Burks and Williams were my top 2 WRs, Pickens could easily be in there to were it not for the character concerns. He could easily have got 3 WR1s here. Generally liked the value throughout and it was difficult to pick anyone as a bust.
  • Had the capital to get some high end talent and didn’t make any boneheaded picks with it. However, endorsed domestic abuse, so swings and roundabouts.
  • Good solid team bolstering
  • Really like most of this draft, hard to be critical. Jameson Williams might be the best receiver in the draft (Watson has a higher ceiling, but way more variability). If Burks is Brown 2.0 as suggested then that’s another win at 4.

Chris

  • Some good early picks but no one after that
  • Decent. I like most of them
  • I like the receivers drafted and could be shrewd value with Pickett
  • A lot of players I had on my list. He was picking after me so maybe this should have been my draft?
  • Solid as usual
  • I don’t like Olave because he doesn’t match up physically well against anyone and I’m not sure how often even a mediocre corner will give him a free release. In space he’s Edelman-esque though. I also am very down on the whole Saints offence. Wan’Dale Robinson I like there, White I’d hoped to get and Skyy Moore could be great, although I think he’s risen a bit too high in fantasy/NFL drafts to be the player I liked as a sleeper pre-draft.

And here’s what Chris thought: “I am still not super happy with picking Moore – my rankings loved him so I just decided to trust them. Was disappointed not to get more defensive players, but I liked the couple I got.”

Pete

  • Solid and predictable
  • Hall and Watson should be fine. The rest?
  • I feel like it’s a good mix of solid chalky players (Hall, Bell) who should have a good floor and then boom/bust guys like Watson and Andersen. I liked him double dipping at CB for 2 elite prospects – they still seemed like OK value, which isn’t usually the case with the 1st CB. His team is notably better after the draft than it was before.
  • Steady
  • Wadda lodda corners.
  • It hinges heavily on Watson – Hall will be what he’ll be. Either a solid committee back who ends up mid-tier, or a clear win, but he’s the #1 pick, generally you’re going to get something there barring unforeseen things like injuries. Watson’s ceiling is right up there. If you somehow hit on the best WR in this class and the best RB, then it’s a big win.

Here’s what Pete had to say for himself: “This wonderful human being deserves all the success that is undoubtedly coming his way.”

Mike

  • Started well and then tailed off with some average picks
  • Not normally a fan of so much d early but I like what boob has done
  • Good draft capital but not sure he got any stars out of it. The defensive players are all good, but I don’t think any are going to turn his team into a contender and Walker doesn’t feel like he has top 5 upside. Threw a lot of interesting darts in the middle rounds though.
  • Quay Walker will “bust” only in fantasy terms. He’ll likely work well at run stopping but I don’t see him getting the kind of plays you need at LB to be successful in our league. Volume drafting is probably sensible to try to turn the team around. The more darts the better.
  • Embrace the D
  • Austin is nice there as an upside guy, though he’s tiny. I think the Steelers might be a bit more creative in his use than the Seahawks with Eskridge. I love the Hamilton pick and Ebikete could be awesome, always bet on athleticism in that position. And Lloyd could be Isaiah Simmons or Micah Parsons… Walker, I get, and I wouldn’t have passed on him at 3 – it’s more about the shallowness of the draft in that position than talent. But not much else to get excited about.

Mike’s fairly tepid assessment was “Lot of mid round talent reflecting lots of mid round picks.”

Neil

  • First two picks great, not much to shout about after then
  • Awful. Don’t like any of these picks
  • Cook felt like a major reach. Hutchinson is good but propped up by his draft capital in a super weak class. Did good work in the middle rounds though – I feel like everyone from Hutchinson to Tindall has a legit shot to be their team’s #1 at their position. And Snoop Conner has a realistic path to relevance.
  • Good value later in the draft, although Cook felt like a bit of a reach at the top
  • Nothing silly. Some players who will contribute. But I’m hardly tumescent reviewing it.
  • Decent
  • I felt Cook was bad value at 8/9 – I understood why he was mocked there because of the RB class being shallow – but to take him at 5 with Williams and Wilson or even Moore, Watson and Olave still there feels like a massively wasted pick for a guy who seems like he’s probably somewhere between Cole Beasley and JD McKissick. Willis has a massive upside if he develops enough as a passer to start.

Ian

  • Not many high picks but some good quality lower down
  • Didn’t have too much capital in the end, but did ok with it. Spiller was great value, I thought he’d go a round earlier (and he would have if Goody hadn’t made a big offer). Taking 3 TEs feels a bit wasteful to me though, and I can’t see how Dulcich becomes fantasy relevant in that offense – it’s just so crowded.
  • Got some good late round value with players falling to them. Could make up for a lack of early picks
  • Literally no one I was thinking about taking.
  • Not a lot to work with, but flags fly forever! Oooo Rah!
  • He traded all his picks to win. And won. In that sense it’s a 10/10. If we’re purely judging on picks made… they’re pretty bad picks, but what do you expect with so few and so few early.

Neil took the Max approach here: “Who are these guys.”

Ben and Stew

  • Okay at first, but Karlaftis was a reach
  • Reasonable solid effort without being spectacular
  • I loved Wilson as a prospect, so they’ve done well there. I wasn’t a big fan of Davis-Price, but can’t argue with the upside and he was quite cheap. Hated the Karlaftis pick though, I think he’s going to be one of those decent NFL guys but who maxes out at about 8 sacks. So not a fan there. They tend to do well with defensive players though.
  • Boom-bust profile
  • Pretty by the book. Nothing to get wildly excited about but nothing which makes me want to vomit in my mouth. Which is a nice change.
  • Good competent draft in a tough spot (6)
  • This draft comes down to Wilson really. And it’s really hard to know how good he’ll be if Zach Wilson continues his trend of trying to make Nathan Peterman look good retrospectively. Karlaftis should be fine, if not special – maybe in a Spags defence with his ears pinned back he might be more, but I’m not sure how long Spags will be around there. Pierce is an X factor, ridiculous athletic talent with true #1 ceiling, but he’s so raw he’s basically unprepared sushi.

Slatz

  • Love the first 5 picks
  • Don’t like it at all. Lots of reaches
  • I was comparatively low on London and Thibodeaux so I expect to be an outlier here. And I love Davis, but don’t think a rookie DT who needs a tonne of projection to be relevant in the NFL is worth a 3rd. I feel like there’s a lot of guys who will stick around the roster, I don’t think there are many who will be stars. Honestly, Harris is the only guy I think he got who he didn’t overdraft.
  • Seemed to know the guys he wanted to draft and took them
  • It’s obviously the best draft. Obviously. Because everyone else took the wrong players, which means he must have got the right ones.
  • Reasonable  draft for the awkward tweener drafting position

Here’s what Slatz had to say: “10/10 of course. Seriously though, passing on White to take Thibodeaux was a tough call, and needs to work out as RB was a real need. Davis is a gamble some will hate, but I love a guy like that and I had to hold myself back from taking him in the second, so for me I feel like that pick was value.”

Goody

  • Pretty rubbish
  • I didn’t like any of their picks bar Dotson (and didn’t really like the trade for him). Pierce and Allgeier feel like desperation picks for a win now team, and Asamoah isn’t going to contribute for at least a year, if not two. Otton might be decent, but that’s about it.
  • Decent value with limited picks
  • Lots of reaching. A number of players I wouldn’t have minded getting 2-5 rounds later. Not to my taste. But he’s happy and that’s nice.
  • The drive to succeed within the season leaves his drafts a bit threadbare.
  • Both Allgeier and Pierce represent the same thing – dice rolls on opportunity/volume with players of limited draft capital and questionable efficacy in bad situations. If both work out the value question goes out the window. If both fail then this looks pretty bleak. Both seem about as likely?

Here’s what Goody had to say: “The best draft ever.”

Benj

  • Average at best.
  • Too d heavy early on for me. Not many picks I liked
  • Didn’t have too much capital, but didn’t do much with it. I wasn’t a fan of Dean and most of the other players feel like they’ve got limited upside.
  • I like the mid round skill players. Be interested to see how the DTs turn out
  • Similar ignore-the-draft team building strategy to Goody. Comment withheld.
  • Hard to judge properly on someone who traded away high picks, without valuing in what was gained vs what could have been gained. Dean looks like a steal, but Philly have been a graveyard for LBs. If he balls out (and he has the talent to be Roquan Smith) that’s a really good spot to have grabbed him.

And here’s what Benj had to say: “Didn’t have a first, traded out of the second, didn’t stupidly reach for anyone, got some of the players I hoped for, but was patient and, again, didn’t stupidly reach for anyone I’d earmarked. I’m pretty happy that I got some contributors. I may not have a star in there but I think it gives me some solid depth.”

Trades

While we’re jumping all over the map, lets continue the trend and look at the trades that happened during the draft. This is what we thought, from least balanced trade to most balanced (and there’s a bit of judgement in this):

  1. Goody gets 2022 pick 20 (Jahan Dotson). Ian gets Jalen Hurts, Allen Lazard. (6 favouring Ian, 3 saying even.).
  2. Goody gets Tyler Lockett, 2022 pick 19 (Tyler Allgeier), 2023 Round 6 pick. Chris gets Mike Evans, Denzel Ward. (5 favouring Chris, 3 saying even, 1 favouring Goody)
  3. Ben and Stew get picks 69 (Sam Howell) and 99 (Daniel Bellinger). Chris gets pick 66 (Tyler Badie).  (4 favouring Chris, 4 saying even, 1 favouring Ben and Stew. And I think I was that one).
  4. Slatz gets 2022 pick 25 (Jalen Tolbert). Neil gets Fred Warner. (4 favouring Neil, 3 saying even, 1 favouring Slatz.
  5. Neil gets picks 93 (Myjai Sanders) and 113 (Jalen Nailor). Slatz gets pick 75 (Daxton Hill). (4 saying even, 3 favouring Slatz, 1 favouring Neil)
  6. Goody gets picks 17 (Dameon Pierce) and 47 (Brian Asamoah). Benj gets pick 28 (Jermaine Johnson), 38 (Romeo Doubs) and 39 (Demarvin Leal). (5 saying even, 2 favouring Benj, 2 favouring Goody – perfectly balanced)

I’ll try something as a summary: a net positive rating for all these trades by team. So you get +1 for each vote saying you won a trade and -1 for each vote saying your lost a trade.

  1. Chris: +7
  2. Iran: +6
  3. Neil: +1
  4. Benj: 0
  5. Slatz: -1
  6. Ben and Stew: -3
  7. Goody: -10

Max, Pete and Mike didn’t make any trades. Benj just made the one perfectly balanced trade. I guess there should be a way to get a bit more nuance here: Neil and Slatz only traded with each other, but I feel like Neil winning a trade involving a 3rd round pick and then losing a trade for an 8th round pick doesn’t really cancel out as much as this table says. And then, does Ben and Stew losing a trade for a 7th round pick really matter? But I can’t be bothered trying to work that out – the data is above if anyone fancies it. But anyway, we all agreed: Goody’s trades were bad, Chris and Iran’s were good.

Individual drafts

I’ll just do these in the order I listed teams in the survey. I’ll say that is so this doesn’t spiral into relentless negativity, but really its just cos its easier for me. For all of these, I’ll just list any answer which got more than 1 vote.

Pete

Best player

  • Breece Hall (7)

Best value:

  • David Ojabo (4)
  • Troy Andersen (3)

Worst value:

  • Christian Watson (3)
  • David Bell (3)
  • Troy Andersen (2)

Bust:

  • Christian Watson (4)
  • David Bell (3)

Sleeper

  • Sauce Gardner (3)
  • Bryan Cook (3)
  • Terrel Bernard (2)

It seems we were content with Breece Hall as the consensus number 1, and not at all high on Christian Watson or David Bell. So I guess we’ll find out if Pete knows better than the rest of us. Andersen getting support as both best value and worst value is fun, I love a polarising prospect.

Ben and Stew

Best player

  • Garrett Wilson (7)

Best value:

  • Ty Davis-Price (3)
  • Garrett Wilson (2)
  • Alec Pierce (2)

Worst value:

  • George Karlafits (5)
  • Sam Howell (3)

Bust:

  • Ty Davis-Price (5)
  • George Karlaftis (3)

Sleeper

  • Velus Jones (5)
  • Daniel Bellinger (2)

So safe to say Ty Davis-Price is a polarising guy. 3 calling him best value, 5 calling him a bust. Same with Karlaftis – not too many calling him a bust, but general agreement that he was bad value.

Goody

Best player

  • Jahan Dotson (5)

Best value:

  • Cade Otton (3)
  • Brian Asamoah (2)
  • Jahan Dotson (2)

Worst value:

  • Tyler Allgeier (3)
  • Dameon Pierce (2)
  • Jordan Stout (2)

Bust:

  • Tyler Allgeier (4)
  • Dameon Pierce (3)
  • Jahan Dotson (2)

Sleeper

  • Cade Otton (7)

Its probably not a good sign when you trade up for 2 RBs, and both get support as worst value or a bust. But then Dotson was overwhelmingly seen as the best player and still also garnered support as worst value and a bust too. Basically, everyone liked Cade Otton and that’s about it.

Mike

Best player

  • Kenneth Walker (4)
  • Devin Lloyd (3)
  • Quay Walker (2)

Best value:

  • Trey McBride (3)
  • Calvin Austin (2)

Worst value:

  • Quay Walker (6)

Bust:

  • Kenneth Walker (4)
  • Quay Walker (3)
  • Kyle Hamilton (2)

Sleeper

  • Phidarian Mathis (3)
  • Damone Clark (2)
  • Trent McDuffie (2)

So people either loved or hated Kenneth Walker – he’s either the best player or he’s a bust. Similar for Quay Walker, except that everyone thought he was overvalued too.

Slatz

Best player

  • Drake London (6)
  • Kayvon Thibodeaux (2)

Best value:

  • Jalen Tolbert (4)
  • Jordan Davis (2)
  • Christian Harris (2)

Worst value:

  • Kayvon Thibodeaux (3)
  • Jordan Davis (2)
  • Jalen Tolbert (2)

Bust:

  • Jalen Tolbert (5)
  • Jordan Davis (3)         

Sleeper

  • Daxton Hill (4)
  • Matt Corral (2)
  • Ty Chandler (2)

We generally seemed happy that Drake London was a perfectly fine pick in the 1st, and then it got polarising: Thibodeaux got support as best player and worst value; Jordan Davis got support as best value, worst value and bust; Jalen Tolbert was either best value or a bust. Basically, we have no fucking clue what is going on here, which is no different from any other team’s draft.

Neil

Best player

  • James Cook (5)

Best value:

  • Malik Willis (3)
  • James Cook (2)
  • Channing Tindall (2)

Worst value:

  • James Cook (3)
  • Aidan Hutchinson (2)
  • John Metchie (2)

Bust:

  • Malik Willis (3)
  • Aidan Hutchinson (3)
  • John Metchie (2)

Sleeper

  • Jeremy Ruckert (3)
  • Snoop Cooner (3)

Neil’s draft was weirdly polarising. It had the biggest range of overall ratings, and it also had an unusual spread of best value, worst value and busts. Basically, most people found something to like about Neil’s draft and something to hate too. And no one liked or hated the same players. So this will be an interesting one to see how it plays out in future years.

Benj

Best player

  • Nakobe Dean (7)
  • Jermaine Johnson (2)

Best value:

  • Romeo Doubs (3)
  • Nakobe Dean (2)
  • Tyquan Thornton (2)

Worst value:

  • Nakobe Dean (2)
  • Jermaine Johnson (2)
  • Logan Hall (2)

Bust:

  • Logan Hall (4)
  • Nakobe Dean (2)
  • Jermaine Johnson (2)

Sleeper

  • Desmond Ridder (3)
  • Charlie Kolar (3)
  • Kingsley Enagbare (2)

I guess some of us really liked Nakobe Dean (best value) and some didn’t (Bust, worst value), but we generally thought he was the best of a bad bunch. And then we didn’t really like Logan Hall.

Max

Best player

  • Jameson Williams (5)
  • Treylon Burks (2)
  • George Pickens (2)

Best value:

  • Jameson Williams (3)
  • George Pickens (2)
  • Brian Robinson (2)

Worst value:

  • Travon Walker (2)
  • Brian Robinson (2)

Bust:

  • Travon Walker (5)
  • Treylon Burks (2)
  • George Pickens (2)

Sleeper

  • Isiah Pacheco (3)
  • Kyle Phillips (2)
  • Brandon Smith (2)

Max’s best player results are fun, especially combined with the bust results, and probably drove his high ratings. The fact that Williams was overwhelmingly more popular than Burks but was picked quite a lot later is interesting. The fact that some people still loved Pickens over both is also interesting. And then the fact that most people thought Travon Walker would be a bust over any of them is interesting too. Although that last bit might just be a bit of noise driven by people not liking Walker as a prospect.

We also seemed to love Jameson Williams – 5 people called him the best pick, 3 called him the best value (as pick 7) and no one called him most likely to bust. So that’s interesting.

Iran

Best player

  • Isaiah Spiller (6)

Best value:

  • Isaiah Spiller (6)

Worst value:

  • Hassan Haskins (3)
  • Isaiah Spiller (2)
  • Greg Dulcich (2)

Bust:

  • Danny Gray (3)
  • Isaiah Spiller (2)
  • Hassan Haskins (2)
  • Greg Dulcich (2)

Sleeper

  • Chad Muma (5)
  • Chigoziem Okonkwo (2)

I wasn’t sure whether to include 4 players in the bust rankings for Ian simply because the 4th player was the 70th pick. Spiller being the overwhelming favourite player from this class, and then no real consensus on worst value or bust, seems to say that we basically liked the Spiller pick but not much else. Except Chad Muma. We liked the value there. 2/9 rated Spiller’s lack of speed as the pre-draft story they actually factored in when picking.

Chris

Best player

  • Skyy Moore (4)
  • Chris Olave (3)

Best value:

  • Rachaad White (4)
  • Wan’Dale Robinson (2)

Worst value:

  • Wan’Dale Robinson (3)
  • Skyy Moore (2)
  • Rachaad White (2)

Bust:

  • Wan’Dale Robinson (6)

Sleeper

  • Kaiir Elam (4)
  • Malcolm Rodriguez (3)
  • Isaiah Likely (2)

Seems like a couple of people liked Wan’Dale Robinson as good value, but most people thought he was a big reach. Rachaad White feels like the interesting one here, getting votes at best value and worst value. Someone also voted for Isaiah Likely at pick 119 as my worst value, which feels like they either thought I had a hell of a draft or didn’t read the question.

The sleeper picks were mildly interesting: Pickett got a vote as best value, but no picks as a sleeper. People did care about Pickett’s tiny hands – 4/9 said that was the pre-draft storyline they actually considered when making picks.

Random draft bits and pieces

There wasn’t any consensus on the biggest surprise. And some disagreement, between “defensive reaches so early in the second” and “it being so offense heavy.” The other comments were:

  • How far veluss Jones fell. The slating did for him. Bargain
  • Cook going top 5
  • No QBs picked for ages
  • That I didn’t excessively reach for anyone.
  • Goody blowing up his team for two mediocre RBs

There also wasn’t consensus on the best name. Sauce Gardner got 1.5 votes, but other than that there was only one vote per player: Smoke Monday, C Otton, Tyler Baddie (sic), Romeo Doubs, Snoop Conner, Ty Fryfogle and ZaQuandre White. Lets hope next year is better. A quick skim of a consensus board seems to think it might be: Henry To’oto’o, Habakkuk Baldonado are both in the top 50.

The only pick comment that people actually liked was “I expect Hassan to be Haskins some questions pretty quickly.” Must do better next year folks.

In terms of getting sniped, Tyler Badie was the only person who was mentioned twice as someone you wanted but some fucker picked first (and you are welcome). Props to Slatz for saying that he got sniped on Kyle Hamilton and then still traded Fred Warner to get a 3rd round pick where he couldn’t take Hamilton.

We’ve been arguing about how to quantify good or bad drafts, and it turns out we don’t really agree on who has been good or bad anyway.

Best drafter in Dbowl history

  • Chris (3)
  • Max (2)
  • Goody (1)
  • Benj (1)
  • Can’t remember this draft (2)

Worst drafter

  • Neil (3)
  • Slatz (2)
  • Pete, Mike and Ben & Stew (1)
  • Don’t want to say (1)

There was an odd consensus here. Simply because no one got votes as best draft and worst drafter. I didn’t check whether anyone voted for themselves. And no one seems to remember Iran drafting at all.

But as we’ve now got 3 years of post-draft surveys, I figured I’d take a look back and see how we rated each other over the last few years. There’s been some impressive consistency: Chris has been 2nd every year, Mike has been 4th every year, Iran has finished either 6th or 7th.. And some less impressive consistency, as Goody and Benj have each finished in the bottom 3 every year. Pete also has an excellent upwards trend.

Team202220212020TotalRank
Chris22261
Ben & Stew7=1192
Mike444123=
Max165123=
Neil537155
Pete3510186
Slatz7=93197=
Ian676197=
Benj988259
Goody81092710

The average total is 16. So above that you’ve been good, below that you’ve been bad. It feels overall like vague tiers of Chris, Ben & Stew, Mike and Max; Neil, Pete, Slatz, Iran; Benj and Goody. You could probably put Neil in either the tier above or below, or just make him a tier of his own. Over the last few years anyway. With the depth of analysis you’d expect, I can’t be bothered to see how that correlates to draft capital. But from memory it has felt like Benj, Goody and Iran haven’t had too many picks and have been rated as drafting badly as a result.

It is amusing that based on our surveys, 2 of us think Benj or Goody are the best drafters, and they have been consistently seen as very bad the last 3 years. And 2 of us think Mike and Ben & Stew have been consistently good recently but are seen as bad. While there’s more agreement that midtable Neil and Slatz have been bad.

But I am the best. That’s the key.

With the sort of talent we have for drafting and also for evaluating the performance of everyone else, you definitely want to rely on our collective pearls of wisdom about it. The only consensus was in “do more research” and “do more prep”. And then we had:

  • “too much hope in the top 10”
  • “If you draft the best guys you can be really good”.

Helpful. You want the best players, but also the people you think are definitely good players probably aren’t. But what about this?

  • “Trade all your picks. Then you can’t fail”
  • “Do not, under any circumstances, get involved in a draft day trade with any of the followi…” (I have no idea what happened here).

So definitely trade all your picks no matter what, but also don’t trade. And then my favourite:

  • It’s a crap shoot and only 2 or 3 of us are any good at shooting those craps. And none of them are Slatz”
  • “Bet on athleticism, because the misses don’t matter and the hits are massive. Take players you like, it’s not as much fun rooting for dickheads.”

Its a crap shoot, but its also very easy to game. I particularly love the shout-out to Slatz (based on the last 3 years he’s not been good, but he hasn’t been awful) and also that the certainty on display in the latter one seems to be from Slatz.

General Dbowl stuff

I asked who you thought would win the league this year. You picked two favourites: Chris (4) and Iran (3). And then threw in Goody and Benj with 1 vote each as contenders. Essentially, if you made the playoffs last year, you have a chance this year.

3 people said Iran would repeat at the top. 3 people also said Pete would repeat the bottom, following by 2 votes for Mike. Neil, Max, Slatz and Goody also got votes for this shame. So that means that everyone thought Ben and Stew would be solidly mid-table, getting votes in neither category.

7 out of 9 thought the draft was at about the right time, so pencil it in for this time next year folks. And there was equal disagreement about whether we should fucking pick already (4) or drag things out more (3), so you can pencil in next year’s to take around a week.

The most divisive question in the draft was how impressive Ian getting through the whole draft in 0 seconds. The average score was 2.4, but that was made up of 4 ratings of 1 and 4 ratings of 5. So maybe expect some people to prioritise time and some people to not. How insightful.

There wasn’t much consensus on whether we need comp picks:  3 said good riddance to them, 5 said Benj should be ashamed for forgetting them, and one person said a 4th round pick for whoever pisses off Slatz the most. Expect a rule change submission soon.

And speaking of rule changes: 7/9 said they were open to a rule about creating an exempt list to get rid of players we morally object to. And 4/9 said that they had a rule change to submit. So expect a couple of rule changes coming through soon.

Right, that was long. I should probably give this an edit. I’m not going to though.