Category: Replacement Level

Replacement Level: Week 4

Goody here, taking up the baton of manager of the replacement levels for week 4. We’ll cut straight to it, by getting the Roger Goodell level of excuses in early. Week 4 is bye week, therefore a little more difficult than week 3 as a big chunk of the available players are not playing, and a lot harder than week 1, as let’s face it, lots of decent available talent was still out there sacking Ryan Tannehill.

So, was the Dynabowl Commissioner’s week as good as the NFL one’s?

QB Geno Smith – projected points – (actual points) 11.62 (14.64)
RB Bilal Powell – 4.5 – Roy Helu – 3.6 – Brandon Bolden – 1.8 (2.525 ; 11.6; 0.4: Total 14.525)
WR Steve Smith Snr – 8.075 – Miles Austin – 5.2 – Ted Ginn Jnr – 4.25 – Devin Hester – 3.15 (10.1; 11.1; 2: Total 23.2)
TE Larry Donnell – 5.7 (2.2)
PK Matt Bryant – 7.4 (8)
PN Steve Weatherford – 0 (5.975)

DT Vince Wilfork – 0.5 (12.1)
DE Robert Ayers – 6.0 – Manny Lawson – 1.5 (1.5; 7.5: Total 9)
LB Erik Walden – 6.0 – Dant’a Hightower – 1.5 – Philip Wheeler – 2.5 – Thomas Davis – 2.0 (8.75; 4.5; 5; 3: Total 21.25)
CB Johnathan Joseph – 4.5 – Kareem Jackson – 4.0 (5.5; 7: Total 12.5)
S Da’Norris Searcy – 3.5 – Dashon Goldson – 2.5 (0.5; 2.75: Total 3.25)

Total Projected Points: 89.795
Total Actual Points: 126.64

So a very respectable score put up there but sadly still 20 points off the lowest score. Even so, the prediction of Hester and his record breaking return paid dividends, as did the giant Vince Wilfork, the most unlikely name on any interception.

So with my team I’ve gone for people that impress me. Or if that’s not the case. The people who I recognise in a long list of people I know very little about.

QB Ryan Fitzpatrick – 9.5
RBs Darrel Young; Jonathan Grimes; Daniel Thomas – 0.95
WRs Devin Hester; Andre Holmes; Jarrett Boykin; – 3.575, 2.75, 3.725
TE Owen Daniels, Derek Carrier – 2.1, 0.9
PK Robbie Gould – 7.4
PN Brad Nortman

DT Corey Peters, Steve McLendon – 0.5, 0.5
DE Mario Addison, Kendall Reyes – 0.5, 0.5
LB Jelani Jenkins, Rolando McClain, Perry Riley – 2.5, 1.5, 2
CB Greg Toler, Jonathan Joseph – 3.5, 4
SS LaRon Landry, Roman Harper – 2.5, 3.5

I’ve had to go for Fitzpatrick as I just can’t face Geno deciding to run it in from 40 yards with 3 receivers wide open. I’ve gone for Red Zone favourite Young and hope that Blue not taking it by the neck in week 2 would open it up for some touches by Grimes. Thomas ruined my faith in Lamar Miller last year, so hope he pays me back this time. I’ve had to go for just 3 receivers (stopping myself taking in 2 Raiders receivers ) and hope Streater’s injury results in Derek Carr going nuts and breaking out – but targetting Andre Holmes and now one else. This has meant 2 TEs with Pitta’s replacement Daniels, paired with Vernon Davis’ replacement of Carrier.

My faith in defence is provided Corey Peters and McLendon whose matchup versus the Jags should gaurentee around 9.5 sacks. This meant I’ve only gone for 3 linebackers as most of the good ones are taken, and I am hoping McClain can recover to continue his comeback versus the Saints and wipe the smug grin off Bree’s face. I’m very happy with my DBs and hoping for at least 25 tackles and an interception.

Total prediction of a mighty 51.4

But I expect to hit between 196 and 250.

Replacement Level: Week 3

Week 3? Wait. What happened? Did I get blackout drunk? Or did I have an altercation with Ray Rice, Ray MacDonald, Greg Hardy or Jonathan Dwyer? God, that’s a depressing joke.

Yes, week 2 got missed out, as did the results of week 1. But I’m here to make that up to you. Sort of. I’m also not the person who did this before. This will be shorter, but not necessarily sweeter. Still, a challenge has been laid down. In week 1 Pete selected the following team:

QB Geno Smith – projected points 11.86 – actual points 12.64
RB Dexter McCluster, Jon Dwyer – 7.2 – 7.3
WR Andre Caldwell, Malcom Floyd, Miles Austin, David Nelson – 24.075 – 16.3
TE Marcedes Lewis, Anthony Fasano – 5.3 – 12.4
PK Ryan Succoup – 7.4 – 12.0
PN Mike Scifres – 0 – 6.9

DT Bennie Logan – 1.0 – 1.0
DE Derek Wolfe, Jason Hatcher – 7.5 – 6.0
LB Quinton Coples, Larry Foote, Melvin Ingram, Brooks Reed – 12 – 30.0
CB Carlos Rogers , Johnathon Joseph – 4.55 – 10.75
S Michael Griffin, DJ Swearinger – 8.5 – 35.45
Total Projected Points: 89.385 – Total Actual Points 150.740

A phenomenal effort that clearly won’t be beaten. And indeed, it wasn’t beaten by three teams. Teams that had actually been bought at auction. Teams that had been lovingly crafted, but curated from off-cuts. The shame should fall on the GMs of Here Comes The Brees, The 4th Dynmension: Dynasty of Sadness and DynaForOne Firebirds.

The challenge, of course, is to both beat the total and beat more teams, neither of which I think will be possible. Pete got amazingly lucky with over 65 points from just 6 players on defense and a further 12 from the second highest scoring kicker in the league that week. So, once again, I will not beat this total. Also, because many of these players have now been snapped up. Indeed, Malcolm Floyd was snapped up because he appeared on this team and actually played in week 1 for Champions of the Sun. Which means I’ll not be putting my hot tips into this team, instead I will be putting in blind bids for them…

Anyway, without further ado, here’s a line-up. Let’s see how it does this weekend:

QB Geno Smith – projected points 11.62
RB Bilal Powell – 4.5 – Roy Helu – 3.6 – Brandon Bolden – 1.8
WR Steve Smith Snr – 8.075 – Miles Austin – 5.2 – Ted Ginn Jnr – 4.25 – Devin Hester – 3.15
TE Larry Donnell – 5.7
PK Matt Bryant – 7.4
PN Steve Weatherford – 0

DT Vince Wilfork – 0.5
DE Robert Ayers – 6.0 – Manny Lawson – 1.5
LB Erik Walden – 6.0 – Dant’a Hightower – 1.5 – Philip Wheeler – 2.5 – Thomas Davis – 2.0
CB Johnathan Joseph – 4.5 – Kareem Jackson – 4.0
S Da’Norris Searcy – 3.5 – Dashon Goldson – 2.5
Total Projected Points: 89.795

I’ve managed to eek out a little more than Pete in the projected totals, plus I think I have a secret weapon. Devin Hester is due a kick return TD. I chose him and Ginn Jnr on the basis that they could be winning lottery tickets. Likewise (a little) Brandon Bolden. He’s very unlikely to do much, but who know what Bill will do. He rotates his running backs at random – I figured I’d hope I got lucky. Will I? We’ll see. The pickings were slim. I really, really hope this team doesn’t beat my own.

Replacement Level: Week 1

Replacement Level is (potentially) a weekly column where reigning Chatterbowl Champion, sitting on the outside of the Dynabowl looking in, chooses a lineup from the Free Agents to compete against the Dynabowl superstars. Can a rag-tag bunch of aged and infirm veterans hold their own against the deep rosters of the league? The answer is a cast-iron No, but maybe we’ll have a bit of fun along the way trying to beat the projections.

Offense
I’m very tempted to give Chad Henne the nod over the other QBs here because he doesn’t have to face a serious pass rush from the Eagles. He’s looked comfortable in pre-season, and will be hoping for an unpressured first game. However Geno Smith (vs 32nd-ranked OAK) just beats him out for the starting position, leaving McCown (vs CAR) and Hoyer (vs PIT) looking in.

The Running Back scene resembles an icy tundra with a herd of caribou stampeding off into the distance. Left behind are the sickly and lame – Dexter McCluster (TEN) and Jonathan Dwyer (ARI) are the starters here. McCluster makes it in on gadget potential, while Dwyer should get carries once Ellington is exhausted trampling through the porous SD run defense. Not selected, Mike Tolbert circles the two, hunger in his eyes.

That means four Wide Receivers start. Malcom Floyd (SD) and Miles Austin are the wideouts, with David Nelson (NYJ) in the slot. Andre Caldwell becomes the fourth starter and may benefit from Wes Welker’s suspension.

Two Tight Ends try and make up for the lack of production at running back. Marcedes Lewis (JAX) makes the team as the Jacksonville safety blanket in 2014. Anthony Fasano (KC) is big enough and ugly enough to pick up some receptions in Dwayne Bowe’s absence.

Kicker – Ryan Succoup (TEN). Punter – Mike Scifres (SD).

Defense

The Replacements have gone for a 3-4 defense, with Philly DT Bennie Logan getting the nod against Jacksonville in the hope that he will pick up a few tackles on Toby Gerhart. Derek Wolfe (DEN) and Jason Hatcher (WAS) fill in at Defensive End, with the outside chance that their supporting pass rushers will open lanes for them against the Colts and Texans respectively. This is likely a forlorn hope but they will at least be solid against the run.

The Linebacker corps has been built on the expectations of tackles rather than sacks, as the sack masters have been scooped up already. They are Coples (NYJ), Foote (ARI), Brooks Reed (HOU), and Melvin Ingram (SD). Coples makes the group entirely because of last year’s Madden stats (Madden and the real NFL are often confused in the mind of the writer – cf Santonio Holmes), while Foote is present to absorb San Diego’s running game. Reed should be on cleanup detail behind Watt and Clowney, while Ingram was sadly overlooked in the Dynabowl draft after an ACL tear last year. However, he needs to translate hurries into sacks, and it is not clear that he will.

Defensive Backs were chosen based on the quality of offense they are facing this weekend, on the off chance that aggressive play may snag them an interception or two. Carlos Rogers (vs NYJ) and Johnathon Joseph (vs WAS) are the corners, while Michael Griffin (vs KC) and DJ Swearinger (vs WAS) are the safeties and should get tackles against two good running games.

Summary (with projected points)
QB Geno Smith (11.86)
RB Dexter McCluster, Jon Dwyer (7.2)
WR Andre Caldwell, Malcom Floyd, Miles Austin, David Nelson (24.075)
TE Marcedes Lewis, Anthony Fasano (5.3)
PK Ryan Succoup (7.4)
PN Mike Scifres (0)

DT Bennie Logan (1.0)
DE Derek Wolfe, Jason Hatcher (7.5)
LB Quinton Coples, Larry Foote, Melvin Ingram, Brooks Reed (12)
CB Carlos Rogers , Johnathon Joseph (4.55)
S Michael Griffin, DJ Swearinger (8.5)
Total Projected Points: 89.385

Find out how The Replacements would have done early next week, when the results are in…